Real Estate 2017 – what to expect – PODCAST

Real Estate 2017

This article contains a podcast which takes a look at real estate 2017 in Mississauga and surroundings. There is a  review of sales activity and prices in 2016, plus a look forward to what to expect in 2017.

Update: the Toronto Real Estate Board reported 5,188 residential transactions through the MLS system in January 2017. This  was an increase of 11.8% per cent compared to the 4,640 sales that were reported in January 2016. Condos showed a higher sales growth than low-rise homes.

January 2017 was basically an extension of 2016. Sales increased on a year-over-year basis while new listings was down dramatically for most major home types.

It’s pretty clear that owning a home continues to be a great investment and remains very important to many households in Canada. As we move forward through 2017, we expect the demand for ownership housing to remain strong, including demand from first-time buyers who, according to recent surveys, could account for more than half of transactions this year. Many of these potential buyers will have problems finding a home that meets their needs in a market with an extreme shortage of inventory for sale. Prices are at record highs. In the last twelve months, the average selling price of all housing types was up by 22.3 per cent to $770,745, with dramatic increases in the average prices for all major home types.

Biggest problem for the industry – the number of active listings on the MLS system at the end of January was essentially half of what was reported as available at the same time last year. That statistic, on its own, tells us that there is a serious demand and supply imbalance in the Greater Toronto area: a problem that we expect will continue throughout in 2017. The end result will be strong price increases for all home types again this year.

So can we expect the great boom in Canadian real estate to continue? Find out here:

Questions: with prices up a staggering 22.3% per cent in 2016, can the bull market continue? How much higher can house prices go in Toronto, where the average price for a detached home is now over $1 million dollars? Will interest rates rise? What about world politics – will they affect the local Canadian market? What about condos? Just a few questions to consider.

portions of this report first appeared in the Toronto Real Estate Board  Market Watch publication

Real Estate Board 2016 Outlook

Real Estate Board 2016 Outlook

The Toronto Real Estate Board has published, for the first time, a comprehensive review of 2015 market activity, with an outlook for 2016, covering all aspects of the GTA (Greater Toronto Area) real estate market.

Watch John DiMichele, president of TREB, as he explains the inaugural Market Year in Review & Outlook report. There is a lot of data available in their publication, with forecasts for everything from suburban resale homes, to downtown condos. Two versions exist, one for realtors, and one for the public. Both were released on January 18, 2016.

Report Highlights

The report provides information on the following:

– after a record setting 2015, 2016 is predicted to be  a strong real estate market going forward

– house prices will continue to trend upward in 2016

– over 12% of the Greater Toronto Area population are planning on purchasing a home in the next 12 months

– a majority of buyers are planning on putting 10% per cent down or more on their purchase

– includes an extensive section on new home construction

– between 96,500 and 105, 000 home sales are expected to be reported through TREB’s MLS system in 2016.

– indepth analysis of the overall competitiveness of the Greater Toronto Area, and also the Golden Horseshoe Area, are provided

You can access the full report in PDF format, by clicking here.

 

 

June Sales Remain Strong

Record June Sales and Higher Prices in Toronto

June sales set records Toronto real estate

Real estate agents in the Greater Toronto Area reported 11,992 firm sales through the Toronto Real Estate Board’s MLS system in June,
2015. The June sales numbers reported represent a new record for the month of June for any year, and an 18.4 per cent increase over results in June, 2014.
The Greater Toronto area continues its strong economic growth with several factors contributing to a robust market in the many diverse local economic, ethnic and cultural bases that exist here. The GTA continues to receive worldwide acclaim as one of the best places to live and do business. As the population continues to grow, many people are taking advantage of the options that exist for home ownership in the area.

Average Sale Price up 12.3%

June sales prices were up strongly on a year over year basis in June, for all categories of housing types. The TREB MLS Home Price Benchmark increased by 8.9% per cent compared to June 2014. The average sale price increased by 12.3% per cent over the same period to$639,184.
Higher priced homes have accounted for a greater share of the total transactions in 2015 compared to last year. This is one of the primary reasons why the average selling price has increased at a
higher yearly rate than the MLS Composite Benchmark.
New listings edged upward a bit during 2015, as homeowners took notice of the incredibly strong growth in real estate prices, and are beginning to take advantage of large equity increases in their homes. Nevertheless, the June sales show that the yearly rate of sales growth continues to far exceed the overall growth in listings, meaning that there is still an imbalance with many willing and able buyers in the market who will continue to have difficulties finding a home that suits their preferences. As long as this imbalance in supply and demand continues, house prices will continue to edge ever higher.

Real Estate Sales for April 2015

Monthly Real Estate Sales for April 2015

record real estate sales in April 2015
Record Real Estate Sales in April 2015

The Toronto Real Estate Board reported 11,303 real estate sales in April 2015. This was the highest sales result on record for the month of April and represented a 17 per cent increase in comparison to April, 2014. While sales increased strongly on a year over year basis, new MLS listings were up over the same period by a more modest five per cent.

Record Real Estate Sales

The record results for real estate sales in April clearly illustrate that a burgeoning number of Toronto area families view home ownership as a priority, high quality long-term investment. This is evidenced by the strong sales growth experienced here in Toronto and the surrounding regions for all major types of housing. First time buyers and existing homeowners remain very active in today’s market.
The overall average selling price, which is a total combined number for all real estate sale for all types of homes reported sold by Toronto area real estate agents in April 2015, was up by 10 per cent year over year to $635,932. The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) composite benchmark, which estimates the price of a benchmark home with the same attributes from one period to the next, was up by 8.4 per cent during the same timeframe. The fact that average price growth outpaced growth for the MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark, suggests that a greater share of higher priced homes changed hands this year compared to last.

Single Family Homes Strong

No matter which indicator used, price growth in the Greater Toronto Area was strongest for low-rise home types. However, the better supplied highrise condo segment remained healthy as well, with price growth above the rate of inflation. Demand for home ownership was extremely high compared with the number of homes available for sale in April.

Going Forward

The market is not expected to change much as we move through the balance of the year. Until there is a sustained period during which listings grow at a faster pace than sales, annual rates of housing price growth will remain robust.

TREB Releases mid-month Real Estate Statistics

MID-MONTH REAL ESTATE FIGURES RELEASED
TORONTO, May 19, 2015 – A 9.6 per cent year-over-year increase in home sales was reported by Greater Toronto Area realtors during the first 14 days of May. There were 5,655 sales reported in the first two weeks of May 2015 compared to 5,160 sales during the same period in May 2014. “It is clear that demand for ownership housing remains very strong in the GTA. So much so that, if the pace of sales experienced in the first half of this month is sustained in the second
half, we will see record home sales for the month of May.
The average selling price for transactions reported during the first 14 days of May was $652,782.00 for all home types combined – up by 10.7 per cent compared to the first two weeks of May 2014. The strongest price growth was experienced in the detached market segment, with the average price up by 13.8 per cent. “The low-rise market segments, including detached home sales, have been the driver of average price growth in the GTA this year. As market conditions have tightened, average price growth has remained very strong. However, while tighter market conditions have been a key
factor, so too has been a shift to higher priced homes. Detached sales growth in the City of Toronto, for example, has been strongest for high-end homes. The resulting change in the mix of homes sold has also been an important factor in pushing the average price higher,” said Jason Mercer, TREB’s Director of Market Analysis.

Toronto Real Estate Update for November

Toronto Real Estate Continues Upward Trend in November

A review of the Toronto real estate market shows that it continues its upward trend, with 6,519 residential transactions reported through the Toronto MLS system in November 2014. Results were up by 2.6% compared to November 2013 sales totals of 6,354 sales. From January through the end of November,  total sales reached 88,462 – an increase of 6.6% compared to the same period last year.

While sellers enjoyed year-over-year sales increases, the number of active listings continued to be smaller than expected, with available listings at November’s end down compared to last year.

The Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) issued a statement that despite the constrained supply of homes for sale, buyers continue to purchase properties with enthusiasm. Home ownership remains an attractive option, as monthly mortgage payments are relatively affordable compared to market rental rates. This combined with the fact that Toronto real estate has proven to be an attractive  long-term investment.

Average selling price of $577,936 for November 2014 transactions versus November 2013 was up by 7.4%. The year-to-date average price was up by 8.4% to $567,198.

The strong price growth in Toronto real estate as seen throughout 2014 has been built on a solid foundation, with demand high relative to supply. The triple market drivers of 1.) continued low interest rates 2.) continued immigration into the Greater Toronto Area, and 3.) continuing good economy with ongoing job creation, continue to fuel the ongoing healthy local market. Ongoing competition between prospective buyers has created strong upward pressure on prices – and all these trends appear to be continuing. Unless there is a major shift in the ratio of  sales and listings in the Greater Toronto Area, which we do not foresee, rising prices are expected to continue into 2015. Even though prices are at historic highs, the pressure and desirability of home ownership seems to be unabated, and we think that is a good thing for the local Toronto real estate scene, and indeed for the whole Canadian economy.